Subject: shanari turn 1433 | Action 1 (Single): | | External/Strategic/Trade: Develop Trans-Calarnari trade, a route from Bel'Adne and Jabau, centred at Akbari. | | 3rd year of 5 year action. | | The successful establishment of what is essentially a free trade "desert-port" in Akbari(the only custom being a meagre fee of 5 Shan is paid for every load bearing animal), has provided further vigour and flourish to the Trans-Calarnari trade route. The route is starting to become established, as the various markets develop a taste (and hence demand for supply) for the new and exotic goods from across the sands. | | Primary Determinant: Trade (internal trade is great +2, external trade is slowly becoming established). | Difficulty: Moderate (a growing trade route already exists). | Weight: Significant (trade is the lifeblood of the Shanari). | Actors: | - Shanari merchants. | - Bel'Adnese merchants. | - Jabau merchants. | - Commonwealth Treasury. | Secrecy: Absolutely none (more publicity the better). | Modifiers: | +9 from 1432 result (Net for 2nd year) | +2 Enhanced trade in exotic products (for the markets in Jabau and Bel'Adne, | respectively). | +1 Developing taste/demand of consumers in the various markets for the new goods. | - 1 Established commercial interests in the various markets recognise true threat of Trans-Calarnari. | (Some modifiers reduced over time) +2+1-1+(0+0+1-1)=+2 Net after year 3=+11 | Action 2 (Single): | | Internal/Strategic/Political - Appointment of Five Paramount Chief of the | Upper Kelshir. | | 2nd year of 4 year action. | | To cement Commonwealth sovereignty over the Upper Kelshir, the Talis annointed in 1432 the sanouk of the five dominant clans of the Upper Kelshir, granting them the hereditary titles of "alb-Sanouk (Paramount Chief) of the Upper Kelshir", and given equal status and voice in the Commonwealth Council with the other Companions, Elders and Sanouk. Though all five accepted this annointment and grants, it is still unclear how many of the 5 Alb-Sanouks have committed themselves to the Commonwealth, and whether any are merely giving lip-service while the prepare themselves for hostile actions. | | At least one of the Alb-Sanouks, Suroso son of Majah son of Ternati, Sanouk of the Hua Hua Confederacy, has sent some of his Ternati clansmen to occupy the landed estates and apartments in the cities of Akbari, Jabali and Kelshirserai, and to take up their positions in the provincial assembly and the Commonwealth Council. These same Ternati clansmen have also initiated trading attempts between the Hua Hua market and the Three Cities. | | The remaining Alb-Sanouk have yet to do the same, but this could be explained by their greater distance from the provincial capital of Upper Kelshir, Kelshirserai, and by their relative decentralised tribal government (as compared to the Hua Hua). | | Details from previous action: | "They are also granted landed estates and apartments in the three Commonwealth towns of Akbari, Jabali and Kelshirserai. Finally, the five alb-Sanouk are granted a five year joint monopoly on the timber, fish and slave trade from the Kelshir, and a five year exemption from caravan customs. | | In return, the five Alb-Sanouk are held responsible for the maintenance of law and order in their respective district, the protection of caravans, and the construction of a permanent district capital in each of their respective districts to facilitate trade and the administration of law. | | As a final incentive, any lands outside the Commonwealth that any of the alb-Sanouk are able to subdue will become theirs by hereditary right." | | Primary Determinant: Diplomacy (Revolution - how acceptable the organisation of society in the Commonwealth is). | +2 based on authority and consent, various minuses for opposing factions, in the end, I decided to go with a flat value of zero for the primary value. | | Difficulty: Great (While the incentives are great for the 5 sanouk, the long term consequences are also). | | Weight: Major (this will make or break the Commonwealth subjugation of the Upper Kelshir). | Actors: | - alb-Talis Snanjil. | - The four Alb-Sanouk & their clans and tribe. | - Alb-Sanouk of the Hua Hua Confederacy. | - Commonwealth Council | - Kelshirserai Governor. | | Secrecy: None. | Modifiers: | -1 2nd year. | +1 Clear acceptance by one of the strongest tribes (Hua Hua). | + 1 Commonwealth annexation of the Upper Kelshir so far. | +2 Improvements to status and clan prospects of the 5 Sanouk. | 0-4+1+1+2+(0+1+0+1)=+2 Net for year 2=+1 | | Action 3 (Single): | | Internal/Strategic/Alliance - Royalist alliance with Upper Kelshiri | Sanouk. | | 2nd year of 3 year action (Effort increased, lengthened). | | The Faymiyuniyya, the family of the late Conveyor Faymiyun, continue their diplomatic campaign to ally themselves with the Five Sanouk of the Upper Kelshir. Recognising both the value the Five Sanouk would add to their power base, and the costs of a bloody war to the Commonwealth, if any of the Five attempt to rebel or secede, the Faymiyuniyya renew their striving to coax the Five into acceptance through the provision of immediate ties of commerce, politics, marriage and status. | | To further complicate matters, it is clear that the Alb-Sanouk of the Hua Hua Confederacy is keeping his distance from factional politics for the moment, at least. | | Primary Determinant: Diplomacy (Realpolitik- how acceptable an alliance is). I went with +1 on this instead of 0 because it has less opponents. | | Difficulty: Moderate -1 (An alliance strengthens the 5 Sanouk and reduces threat of domination from the capital). | Weight: Significant (No great impact immediately,though in the long term it will be of great importance) | Actors: | - Alb-Sanouk of the Hua Hua Confederacy. | - Other four Sanouk & their clans. | - Faymiyuniyya | - Royalist clans | Secrecy: Minimal. | Modifiers: | +3 2nd year (Net from 1432) | +2 Benefits to 5 Sanouk. | -2 Difficulty (Mistrust). | + 1 Counterbalance to Council | +2 Improvements to status and clan prospects of the 5 Sanouk. | -1 Hua Hua maintain cool relations with Faymiyuniyya. | +1-1+2-2+1+2-1+(+1-1-1-1)=0 Net for year 2=+3 | | Action 4 (Single): | | External/Strategic/Special - The Sojourner clans, the descendents of the many followers that fled Milakanur with the late Conveyor in the historic Sojourn, and who now form a sizeable religious, cultural and political force in the Commonwealth, established a series of small trading enclaves Port Jabau. Building on their initial success, they now seek to make their commercial plans of dominance of the Akbari-Jabau portion of the Trans-Calarnari trade route a reality. | | 2nd year of 2 year action. | | Primary Determinant: Trade +2 (Survival). | | Angered at the apparent Commonwealth policy of peace with the southern state of Milakanur, the Sojourner clans decided to privately pursue their own programs towards the southern states of Jabau and Milakanur. This currently means attempting to gain competitive dominance over the southern trade with Jabau. | | Difficulty: Moderate -1 (exploitation of the opening created by the new Trans-Calarnari route). | | Weight: Significant (Success will strengthen the Sojourner clans) | Actors: | - The Sojourner clans | - Jabau merchants | - Jabau governor. | | Secrecy: None (Trade activities public, whereas long term goals concealed). | Modifiers: | +2 2nd year (1432 Net result). | +1 Cultural familiarity (the Sojourner clans are Milakanuri, and thus familiar with the culture, and economic and political life of Jabau and Milakanur. | -2 Secrecy (Necessity of temporarily halting evangelisation of Jabau and Milakanur by Sojourners). | +1 Opportunities provided by the new trade voice in the Commonwealth Council with the other Companions, Elders and Sanouk. | +1 Growth in Trans-Calarnari trade. +2-1+3-2+(-1-1+1-1)=0 Net result for both years of the action=+2 Slow progress is made. The Shanair gain solid contacts within the mercantile community and a slight market edge. ---------------------------------------------------------------- To unsubscribe, send mail to celandra-off@phoenyx.net.
